Today, all eyes are on the US economic data releases that are crucial ahead of the Federal Reserveโs interest rate decision later this evening. At 15:30 (GMT+3), three major indicators will be released:
The upcoming US CPI & Jobless Claims Data will be pivotal in shaping market expectations.
- US Annual Inflation Rate (CPI YoY) โ Expected: 2.9%, Previous: 2.7%
- US Monthly Inflation Rate (CPI MoM) โ Expected: 0.3%, Previous: 0.2%
- US Initial Jobless Claims โ Expected: 235K, Previous: 237K
๐ Once the official data is released, we will update the table below in real time.
๐ Economic Data Table (September 17, 2025)
| Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual (to be updated) |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Inflation Rate (YoY) | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9 |
| US Inflation Rate (MoM) | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2 |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 237K | 235K | 263k |
๐ Why This Data Matters for the Markets
๐ Overview of US CPI & Jobless Claims Data
The inflation report (CPI) is one of the most critical indicators for the Federal Reserve. If inflation comes in above expectations, it may increase the likelihood of a more hawkish Fed stance with higher interest rates. Conversely, a weaker CPI figure could support expectations of a rate cut in the coming months.
At the same time, jobless claims reflect the health of the labor market. A higher-than-expected figure signals weakness, while lower claims suggest continued labor market strength.
๐ Market Impact
- Higher-than-expected CPI: Could strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and push Treasury yields higher, while pressuring stock markets and gold.
- Lower CPI: May weaken the USD, boost equities, and support risk-on assets such as cryptocurrencies.
- Jobless Claims Surprise: Any deviation from expectations could influence short-term volatility in forex and equity markets.
โ Conclusion
Todayโs US inflation and unemployment data will set the tone for the Federal Reserveโs interest rate decision later on September 17, 2025. Traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts should keep a close eye on the official releases, as these numbers could spark major volatility across global markets.
Stay tuned โ weโll update this article immediately as soon as the official data goes live.
